Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.322879 3.522426 3.734140 3.976603 4.248003 4.544106 4.893899
2024-10-20 2.974091 3.230703 3.515252 3.857501 4.262597 4.732932 5.329822
2024-10-27 2.690505 2.975732 3.302649 3.711119 4.216933 4.835978 5.673640
2024-11-03 2.572895 2.898624 3.285041 3.788022 4.443065 5.295606 6.544448
2024-11-10 2.494546 2.859901 3.307925 3.915333 4.748743 5.908546 7.771902
2024-11-17 2.343270 2.718676 3.189686 3.847000 4.784188 6.157452 8.537943
2024-11-24 2.201070 2.578506 3.061032 3.750921 4.767587 6.327533 9.233021
2024-12-01 2.090220 2.471162 2.966971 3.692754 4.798157 6.577002 10.161451
2024-12-08 1.998071 2.382317 2.890859 3.652145 4.849465 6.871211 11.304769
2024-12-15 1.948060 2.346128 2.883604 3.710480 5.064372 7.498852 13.514682
2024-12-22 1.842206 2.228295 2.754154 3.572987 4.938325 7.466690 14.099702
2024-12-29 1.791775 2.183807 2.726001 3.588635 5.075348 7.984639 16.590619
2025-01-05 1.705822 2.093250 2.636540 3.518163 5.085577 8.323103 19.221450
2025-01-12 1.624097 2.004686 2.544825 3.436702 5.067300 8.609904 22.239132
2025-01-19 1.542151 1.911968 2.441609 3.327881 4.984000 8.732012 24.970856
2025-01-26 1.511760 1.891592 2.446023 3.400457 5.271050 9.920472 37.726250
2025-02-02 1.492073 1.885490 2.471738 3.513240 5.670002 11.696338 75.033748
2025-02-09 1.438226 1.826009 2.409614 3.462491 5.704112 12.375234 122.625329
2025-02-16 1.383389 1.762570 2.337492 3.386885 5.669489 12.817033 214.723859
2025-02-23 1.338706 1.712495 2.284093 3.341605 5.700639 13.563633 825.989219
2025-03-02 1.299926 1.669684 2.240064 3.310141 5.761438 14.516204 NaN
2025-03-09 1.279267 1.653570 2.238855 3.361366 6.045944 16.859162 NaN
2025-03-16 1.230099 1.591469 2.157648 3.247025 5.869164 16.632654 NaN